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An American-led Overthrow Of Saddam Hussein - And The Replacement Of The Radical Baathist Dictatorship With A New Government More Closely Aligned With The United States Would Put America More Wholly In Charge Of The Region Than Any Power Since The Ottomans, Or Maybe Even The Romans.

-David Frum

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An American-led Overthrow Of

David Frum

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An American-led Overthrow Of Saddam Hussein - And The Replacement Of The Radical Baathist Dictatorship With A New Government More Closely Aligned With The United States Would Put America More Wholly In Charge Of The Region Than Any Power Since The Ottomans, Or Maybe Even The Romans.

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It's Very Important To Understand That 21st Century Authoritarian Rule Does Not Look Like 20th Century Authoritarian Rule. You're Not Going To Have People In Parade Ground Formations. You're Not Going To Have A Police State. You're Not Going To People With Decorative Armbands Bullying People On The Sidewalks. And The Leaders Won't Stand At Microphones For Hours Ranting At People. All Of That Is So 80 Years Ago.

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The System Has Evolved To Protect Parties From People Like Donald Trump. It Really Is True That People Without Well-established Public Records, Without Proven Capability In Public Service, Without Tested Beliefs And At Least Apparently Under The Influence Of A Foreign Power, Such People Are Screened Out By Major Parties.

Look, The Media Are Trapped By Changes In The Technology And Business Of Their Industry.

When We Talk About Authoritarianism, We Conjure Up Out-of-date Visions From The 1930s. But We Are No More Likely To Do Authoritarian Government The Way They Did In The 1930s Then We're Likely To Address Or Talk Or Do Any Of Our Other Business In The Way They Did It In The 1930s.

Donald Trump, As A Businessman, He's Not Much Of A Builder And He's Not Much Of Dealmaker And He Certainly Isn't Very Good At Making Expenses Line Up With Income. But He Is A Marketing Genius. He Must Have Seen An Empty Market Niche That No One But Him Filled.

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Obviously, Donald Trump Won't Be Impeached Or Removed So Long As The Republicans Hold Even One House Of Congress. And Even Should They Lose Both In November Of 2018, Launching An Impeachment - As The Republicans Discovered With Bill Clinton - Is Very Dangerous To The Impeaching Party. Unless You Have A Highly Credible Set Of Extremely Damning Facts, You Turn A Constitutional Crisis Into A Political Crisis. You Rally Potential Supporters Of The Impeached President To Him. You Make His Base Bigger. So I Imagine That He Is Likely To Serve Out The Full Term.

Partly Because Of The Desperate Economic Situation In The Country, What Were Once The Leading Institutions Of Conservatism Are Constrained.

Republicans Originally Thought That Fox Worked For Us, And Now We Are Discovering We Work For Fox

If We Say Something Often Enough, We Come To Believe It. We Don't Usually Delude Others Until After We Have First Deluded Ourselves.

The Iraq Fight Itself Is Probably Going To Go Very, Very Fast. The Shooting Should Be Over Within Just A Very Few Days From When It Starts.

The Five Million People Who Watch Cable News Are The Political Nation, The People Who Really Care.

President Trump Watches A Lot Of Television. I Mean, Really A Lot. His Favourite Channel Is Fox. Now Just Imagine Somebody Wants Put A Message In Front Of The President. You Can Hire A Lobbyist Or You Can Buy A Minute On Fox Or You Can Even Pay Somebody At A Think Tank To Articulate Your Message And Then Pay A Booker At That Think Tank To Get That Person On Fox And Put The Thought Directly In The President's Ear.

[in Politics,] When There Is No Reason To Speak, There Is A Reason Not To Speak.

We Live In An Age Of De-democratization. The Number Of Democracies In The World Has Been Going Backwards Since 2005, And Even Many Existing Democracies Including In Europe Have Been Becoming Less Democratic.

While There Is An Attempt By The Trump People To Say That California Isn't Really America. California Certainly Seems Like America To Me.

I Think The Single Most Important Question Is How Do You Maximize The Number Of Children Who Grow Up In Stable Two-parent Households. We Know In All Kinds Of Ways It Makes A Huge Difference To How Kids Come Out And We Are Hardening Into A Caste Society Where Some Kids Do Better In All Kinds Of Ways Because They Have Two Parents And Others Don't.

Journalism Can Go Right Up To The Door Of The Room In Which The Decisions Are Made. A Novel Can Go Inside The Room - And Inside The Character's Heads.

The Thing That Sustains A Strong Fox Network Is The Thing That Undermines A Strong Republican Party.

Canada Has A Real Civil Service, Which The United States Doesn't Have, An Independent Civil Service. Canada Also Has A Stronger Federal System.

In Journalism I Can Only Tell What Happened. In Fiction, I Can Show It.

I Keep Telling My American Friends, "if You Think Of Donald Trump As Only Something That Is Happening Inside The United States, You're Missing It." Because There Are Trump-like Events Happening Across The Western World, In Warsaw Pact Countries, In France, Germany, Austria, The Netherlands. As We Speak, The Second-largest Party In The Dutch Legislature - Who's More Level-headed Than The Dutch? - Is Geert Wilders's Party, Which Is A Very Trump-like Party, And They've Got 33 Out Of 150 Seats.

My Mom Was Truly An Iconic Figure, A Great Journalist And A Pioneering Woman Who Died At 54 Of Cancer Without Ever Having Revealed To Viewers That She Was Ill.

Reagan Survived The Iran-contra Scandal Because The Elements Of It That Were Illegal (aiding Anti-communist Nicaraguans) Were Popular And The Things That Were Unpopular (arming The Iranians) Were Quite Legal.

People Need To Understand That In Washington, The Process Is The Punishment.

No One Is Murdered In Hungary And There Are No Illegal Arrests, But People Have Begun Again, When They Talk To You In A Public Place Looking Around To See Who's Listening. You See That In Slovakia, You're Beginning To See That In Poland.

One Of The Things You Can Learn From A Figure Like Venezuela's Hugo Chavez Is That If You Take All The Resources Of The State For Yourself, You Don't Build Much Of A Constituency And You Have To Rely On Repression, And Repression Is Difficult In The Modern World.

Crown Prince Rupprecht, The Heir To The Throne Of Bavaria Who Commanded The Army Group Facing The British At The Somme, Was The Senior Direct Lineal Heir Of James Stuart, The Old Pretender Of 1715. Had There Been Any Jacobites Left In Britain In 1916, They Would Have Had To Regard This South German Prince As Their Rightful King.

I Was In The White House, Probably The Only Administration I'll Ever Work For. The Administration Was Not A Success, Neither At Home Nor Abroad. The Iraq War Was Not A Success. The Condition Of The Average Person Was Not Enough Better At The End Of Seven Years Of George Bush Than It Was At The Beginning, And Certainly It All Ended In The Collapse That Was The Great Recession. So I Feel A Sense Of Karmic Obligation To The Universe Because Of That.

We All Work For Media, We All Make Mistakes All The Time. That's Inevitable. What The Difference Between A Responsible Journalistic Institution Is, Does It Care Whether It Makes Mistakes Or Not? And Does It Correct Them?

But The Thought Leaders On Talk Radio And Fox Do More Than Shape Opinion. Backed By Their Own Wing Of The Book-publishing Industry And Supported By Think Tanks That Increasingly Function As Public-relations Agencies, Conservatives Have Built A Whole Alternative Knowledge System, With Its Own Facts, Its Own History, Its Own Laws Of Economics.

Those Who Seem To Despise Half Of America Will Never Be Trusted To Govern Any Of It. Those Who Cherish Only The Country's Past Will Not Be Entrusted With Its Future.

The Big Winners Under The American Fiscal System Are The Rich, Who Pay Some Of The Lowest Taxes Anywhere In The World; The Old, Who Are The Main Beneficiaries Of The American Social Service State; Farmers, Rural People. These Are Republican Constituencies.

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People Who Want To Wage Cultural Wars Ought To Keep In Mind That Cultural Views Often Don't Move At All For A Very Long Time, But When They Move They Can Move Very Fast.

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Why Be Thrifty When Your Old Age And Health Care Are Provided For, No Matter How Profligate You Act In Your Youth? Why Be Prudent When The State Insures Your Bank Deposits, Replaces Your Flooded-out House, Buys All The Wheat You Can Grow? ... Why Be Diligent When Half Of Your Earnings Are Taken From You And Given To The Idle?

An American-led Overthrow Of Saddam Hussein - And The Replacement Of The Radical Baathist Dictatorship With A New Government More Closely Aligned With The United States Would Put America More Wholly In Charge Of The Region Than Any Power Since The Ottomans, Or Maybe Even The Romans.

Donald Trump Has Declared That He's Going To Divest Himself From His Companies And That His Sons Will Be Separated From The Government. But His Sons Who Run The Company Are Regularly Attending His Meetings With Senators, Making It Clear To Everybody, You Want Access To Trump You Pay.

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If You Go On Tv And Say There's No Other Country In The World Where You Can Be Born Poor And Become Rich, You Get A Huge Megaphone. If You Tell The Truth, Which Is That Most Of The Studies Show Actually The United States Is Worse Than Anybody Except Britain In Upward Mobility, There Is No Audience For You.

Upward Mobility

I Do Think Hillary Clinton, I Mean The Clintons, I`ve Got A Lot Of Critiques Of The Clinton Foundation. I Do Think They Bend The Law. But Hillary Clinton Accepts The Concept Of Legality, She Accepts That Courts Are Supreme, Laws Must Be Complied With And The Power Of The State Is Not To Be Used For Persona Revenge Or Personal Enrichment. And That`s Something - Not Something I Trust Donald Trump To Do.

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And That Is How We Intend To Destroy The Enemy!" The Superior Shakes His Head Wearily. "young Man, The Soviets Are Our Adversary. The Navy Is The Enemy.

I Am A Very Conservative Person. And There Are A Lot Of Things That Donald Trump's Government Or Administration Is Doing That I Might Agree With. The Point Is We Have To Defend The Rules Of The Game. And One Of The Things That Has Empowered Donald Trump Is That Not Enough People Are Serious Enough About Defending The Rules Of The Game, Maybe Because They Don't Understand How Endangered Those Rules Are.

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Venezuela Has Gone From Being A Democratic Country 15 Years Ago To Being Totally Not A Democracy Today. Usually That De-democratization Doesn't Take The Form Of A Heavy Handed Police State.

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If You Watch A Movie From Between The End Of The Second World War And The Mid-1970s, Whenever Anyone Steps Out In A White Lab Coat, They're There To Offer A Solution. They're There To Tell You How The Laser's Going To Save The Day. They're Going To Give You James Bond's Array Of Tools. After About 1975, Whenever The Man In The White Lab Coat Steps Out, It's To Come Up With Some Crazy Idea That's Going To Bring Ruin On Everybody. "let's Clone Dinosaurs!" And The Last We See Of Him Is Disappearing Down The Gullet Of The Tyrannosaurus Rex.

The Great Society Went Wrong For Three Major Reasons. First, The Self-organization The Johnson Administration Promoted Turned Out To Be Not The Pooling Of Family And Community Resources Into Shops And Businesses, But Political Pressure For Government Handouts. Second, The Great Society Failed To Anticipate The Perverse Side-effects Of Handing Money Out To People Who Have Done Nothing To Earn It. Third, While The Great Society Was Showering Money On The Poor, The Supreme Court Was With Childlike Glee Smashing To Bits Traditional Methods Of Maintaining Law And Order.

I'm A Latecomer To The Environmental Issue, Which For Years Seemed To Me Like An Excuse For More Government Regulation. But I Can See That In Rich Societies, Voters Are Paying Less Attention To Economic Issues And More To Issues Of The Spirit, Including The Environment.

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The Business Model Of The Conservative Media Is Built On Two Elements: Provoking The Audience Into A Fever Of Indignation (to Keep Them Watching) And Fomenting Mistrust Of All Other Information Sources (so That They Never Change The Channel).

Anybody Who Imagines That An Election Can Be Won Under These Circumstances By Banging On About William Ayers And Jeremiah Wright Is ... To Put It Mildly ... Severely Under-estimating The Electoral Importance Of Pocketbook Issues. We Conservatives Are Sending A Powerful, Inadvertent Message With This Negative Campaign Against Barack Obama's Associations And Former Associations: That We Lack A Positive Agenda Of Our Own And That We Don't Care About The Economic Issues That Are Worrying American Voters.

To Balance China, The Democracies Will Need New Friends - And India With Its Fast-growing Economy, Youthful Population, And Democratic Politics Seems The Obvious Candidate.

[democrats] Hated Richard Nixon, And No Wonder. It Was Nixon Who Sent Alger Hiss To Jail, And Nixon Who Waged The Vietnam War After The Democrats Gave Up.

Yet When The Hour Of Decision Arrives, It Turns Out That Many Conservatives Care As Little As Ever About Administrative Skill And Executive Accomplishment. Our Party And Our Movement Overwhelmingly Respond To Symbolic Cues. Sarah Palin Is Exciting And Appealing. But What Kind Of Executive Is She? None Of Us Have Even The Remotest Idea.

Republicans Have To Move To A Point Of Greater Unity.

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A Generation Ago, Or Two, When There Were Three Channels, Plus Pbs, And When You Needed - When You Needed 15 Million People To Make A Living, The Media Could Focus On The Broad Country. And Most People Had No Choice About Getting Political Information. It Was There At 6:30 Whether You Wanted It Or Not.

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One Might Almost Say, To Adapt Von Clausewitz, That Modern Warfare Is Pr By Other Means. And War-winning Strategies Mean That Modern Armies Most Stop Treating Their Communications Operations As Secondary Assignments Or (as Still Too Often Happens) Dumping Grounds For Officers Who Have Failed At Everything Else - But As Missions Absolutely Essential To Success.

I Have A Range Of Scenarios. One Of Them Is A Chaos, That What Could Happen Is Congress Does Step Up A Little Bit And The Administration Is Paralyzed. And We Go Through All Kinds Of Constitutional Crises, Impeachment Or The 25th Amendment Removal Process. Another Frightening Scenario Is Donald Trump Is Steering His Way To A Series Of International Confrontations At The Same Time As He's Appeasing Russia.

What I Say Is I Am Somebody Who Cares About Conservative Ideas. I Want To See Them Implemented In Governance.

Elites Are Inevitable In Politics. That Is How Politics Is Going To Work. The Question Is, Are Your Elites Responsible, Public-spirited? Do They Think About The Interests Of Others, Not Just Themselves? And The Story Of Western Politics Since The Beginning Of The Century Is That As Elites Become More Separated, More Selfish, As They Leave Behind Their Populations And Don't Think About Them, They Become Discredited. And The People Look For Alternatives. But The Alternative Is Worse. Those Rules Of The Game Protect Us All. And They Are More Precious Than Almost Any Political Outcome.

One Of The Things That Always Drives Any Practitioner Of Journalism Crazy Is You'll Run It People Who Say Why Doesn't The Media Cover This Or That? Well Of Course The Media Covered It. Why Didn't You Read About It? And, You Know, It's, You Know, There You Are, It's Not The Journalist's Job To Knock Down Your Door, You Know, Punch The Url Into Your Computer And Force You To Stop Watching The Kardashians And To Read, You Know, A Report On Integrity In Government Instead, It's Your Job.

One Of The Reasons I've Been Interested In The Us Health Care Is That Here Is Something You Can Do, That Could Lift One Of The Largest Burdens Of Worry From The Shoulders Of Tens Of Millions Of People For Whom The Rest Of The Economy Isn't Working. A Lot Of The Things That Are In Obamacare That Republicans Don't Like Were Deliberately Put There To Force Republicans To Negotiate. Republicans Wouldn't Negotiate, So We Got Obamacare With All Of The Fur On It. Once It's There, Of Course, It's Very Hard To Take Health Care Benefits Away From People, As The Republicans Discovered.

Whenever You Discuss Politics, It Is Always Better To Use Individual Names Rather Then The Term Neocon.

One Of The Great Drivers Of The Alienation That Has Made Donald Trump Possible Is That The Growth In The American Economy Has Been Weak. In The Decade From 2005 To 2015, There Was Not One Year When The Us Hit Three Per Cent Growth. And To The Extent There's Been Growth, Virtually All Of It Has Been Collected By The Top 10 Per Cent Of The Population. Obviously, If We Knew How To Make Growth Faster, We Would. We Don't. And It's Very Difficult To Make Growth More Broadly Shared. Because It's Not Just The Us That Has This Problem.

Democracy Takes Work. That's The Thing We're Really Finding Out, That, You Know, In Many Ways, You Know, The Past Two Decades We've Taken For Granted All Of The Extraordinary Achievements Of The Post-war Generation. You Know, Building This Global Alliance Structure That Has Kept The Peace Across The North Atlantic Since World War Ii. Building All Of These Institutions, Building All This Remarkable Technology. And People Have Privatized. You Know, You Can Now, You Don't Have To Go Outdoors Much, The Whole World Comes To You.

I Want People To Understand That, Look, We're In A Period Of Democratic Deficit, Democratic Recession. There Are Fewer Democracies In The World Today Than In 2005, And In Many Of The Countries That Are Still Technically Democracies, We're Seeing A Reduction In The Rule Of Law. And That's Especially True In Central Europe, But It's Also True Of Places Like South Africa, The Philippines.

So Long As Donald Trump Is Powerful And Popular, Fox News Is Going To Achieve An Advertising Bonanza Unheard Of In The Era Of Modern Cable, Because People Will Pay Them To Talk To The President.

One Of The Things That Really Has Gone Wrong In Modern Politics, One Of The Things That Made Trump Possible Was That Many People Have A View Of Politics As Something Dramatic And Exciting And Thrilling And Emotional.

I Don't Think That Disasters Have To Be Spectacular. They Can Be A Slow Corrosion.

Nobody Ever Won An Election By Spitting At His Political Opponents.

Republicans Have Been Fleeced And Exploited And Lied To By A Conservative Entertainment Complex.

Donald Trump Is The Least Unpopular Thing About Today's Republican Party. I Mean, The Idea That A Mitch Mcconnell Or A Paul Ryan Could Say, "let's Toss Trump Overboard And Return To Our Program Of Plutocratic Politics, Health Care Removal, Massive Income Tax Cuts For The Affluent, Deregulation Of Finance" - If They Cut Loose From Donald Trump, It's Like, You Know, Storm In Channel, Continent Cut Off. If They Cut Loose From Him, They Are Much Likelier To Sink.

Civil Unrest, Civil Turmoil Is Not A Challenge To President Trump. It's A Resource For Him. He Needs To Create An Image Of A Polarized Country In Which The People Who Are Against Him Are Somehow Alien Or Anti-system.

In America, You Will See In Area After Area, Media Under Pressure, Businesses Under Pressure Not To Criticize Donald Trump Lest He Reduce Their Stock Value With An Angry Tweet.

More Irishmen Died Fighting For Britain In World War I Than Died Fighting Against Her In All Of Ireland's Bids For Independence Combined.

There Is No Right To Work In A Think Tank, And These Are Very Privileged Positions.

Donald Trump's Big Goal Is To Become The Richest Man In The World, Abusing The Powers Of The Presidency.

Modern Authoritarianism, As It's Growing Inside Europe And Now Coming To The United States, Rests Much More On The Use Of Power To Protect The Guilty Than To Persecute The Innocent. And Its Motive Is Not Crazy Totalitarian Utopianism, It's Motive Is Repressive Kleptocracy. To Steal And To Use The Powers Of The State To Protect Theft.

Donald Trump Is Behaving In An Extremely Provocative Way Toward China, Having First Cancelled The Tpp And Alienated America's Friends In The Region. Same Thing That He's Authorizing Much Riskier Gambits Against Isis, Having Alienated Many Of America's Allies And Friends In The Region.

I Am Not A Person Of The Left. But One Of The Things, The Central Idea Of Democracy Is That You Have A Bigger Investment In The System As A Whole Than You Do In Any Particular Outcome.

You Can Have These Fake Engagements, These Virtual Engagements That Substitute For Actual Engagements. You Don't Have To Participate, You Can Hit A Button, Send You 200 Dollars To The Barack Obama For President Campaign And Think It's Like You Knocked On A Door. But You Didn't Knock On A Door.

Speech Writers Are More Vulnerable To Vanity Than Any Other Group Of People In Washington.

The Canadian Middle Class Is Under Less Pressure Than Any Other Middle Class In Any Developed Country On The Planet. So They Feel Good. They Feel Optimistic. They Feel Secure.

People Who Watch A Lot Of Fox Come Away Knowing A Lot Less About Important World Events.

We All Have More At Stake In The Rules Of The Game Than We Do In The Outcomes Of The Game. When That Changes, That's When You Begin To Lose Democracy.

We've All Been Wrong- I Certainly Have- And We Should Thank Those Who Set Us Right. Not Always Fun, But Always Best In The End.

Democracy Requires You To Learn How To Lose As Well As How To Exercise Power When You Win. And That Requires Restraint All Around. One Of The Reasons It Works Is Because When You Win You Don't Do Things That Are So Upsetting To The Losers That They Feel Like They Have Less, They Have More To Gain By Turning Over The System.

A Novel Makes It Possible To Understand Not Just Events, But The People Who Control The Events; Not Only Their Choices, But Also Their Motives.

Maybe It's True That People With Less Extreme Views Who Are Also Interested In Public Affairs Have Been Driven Out By A Marketplace That Doesn't Offer Them Anything Of The Tone They Want To Listen To.

The Great Power The President Has Is That He Is The Most Prominent Person In The Biggest Media Event On The Planet. He Has The Attention Of The Nation And The World. When He Speaks, Everybody Listens.

By Abrogating All Moral Standards In Their War Against Israel, Arab And Muslim Leaders Initiated A Process Of Moral Collapse That Has Ended By Soaking Their Own Societies In Blood. The Terror They Intended To Inflict Only Upon Others Has Rebounded With A Hundred Times Greater Horror Upon Their Own Lands.

The Monster Has Escaped Elba!" "the Tyrant Has Landed At Cannes!" "bonaparte Meets The Troops." "napoleon Approaches Paris." "his Imperial Majesty Has Entered The Capital.

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