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Population Trends Have Always Provoked Doom-fraught Oracles, Because Their Popular Interpreters Suppose That Every New Series Will Be Infinitely Sustained; Yet, Beyond The Short Term, Expectations Based On Them Are Never Fulfilled.

-Thomas Malthus

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Population Trends Have Always

Thomas Malthus

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Population Trends Have Always Provoked Doom-fraught Oracles, Because Their Popular Interpreters Suppose That Every New Series Will Be Infinitely Sustained; Yet, Beyond The Short Term, Expectations Based On Them Are Never Fulfilled.

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The Greatest Talents Have Been Frequently Misapplied And Have Produced Evil Proportionate To The Extent Of Their Powers. Both Reason And Revelation Seem To Assure Us That Such Minds Will Be Condemned To Eternal Death, But While On Earth, These Vicious Instruments Performed Their Part In The Great Mass Of Impressions, By The Disgust And Abhorrence Which They Excited.

The Prodigious Waste Of Human Life Occasioned By This Perpetual Struggle For Room And Food, Was More Than Supplied By The Mighty Power Of Population, Acting, In Some Degree, Unshackled, From The Constant Habit Of Emigration.

Nature Herself In Times Of Great Poverty Or Bad Climatic Conditions, As Well As Poor Harvest, Intervenes To Restrict The Increase Of Population Of Certain Countries Or Races; This, To Be Sure, By A Method As Wise As It Is Ruthless.

It Is Not The Most Pleasant Employment To Spend Eight Hours A Day In A Counting House.

To Estimate The Value Of Newton's Discoveries, Or The Delight Communicated By Shakespeare And Milton, By The Price At Which Their Works Have Sold, Would Be But A Poor Measure Of The Degree In Which They Have Elevated And Enchanted Their Country; Nor Would It Be Less Grovelling And Incongruous To Estimate The Benefit Which The Country Has Derived From The Revolution Of 1688, By The Pay Of The Soldiers, And All Other Payments Concerned In Effecting It.

It Has Appeared That From The Inevitable Laws Of Our Nature, Some Human Beings Must Suffer From Want. These Are The Unhappy Persons Who, In The Great Lottery Of Life, Have Drawn A Blank.

To Minds Of A Certain Cast There Is Nothing So Captivating As Simplification And Generalization.

A Feather Will Weigh Down A Scale When There Is Nothing In The Opposite One.

The Rich, By Unfair Combinations, Contribute Frequently To Prolong A Season Of Distress Among The Poor.

The Perpetual Struggle For Room And Food.

The Immediate Cause Of The Increase Of Population Is The Excess Of The Births Above Deaths; And The Rate Of Increase, Or The Period Of Doubling, Depends Upon The Proportion Which The Excess Of The Births Above The Deaths Bears To The Population.

Thirty Or Forty Proprietors, With Incomes Answering To Between One Thousand And Five Thousand A Year, Would Create A Much More Effectual Demand For The Necessaries, Conveniences, And Luxuries Of Life, Than A Single Proprietor Possessing A Hundred Thousand A Year.

To Remedy The Frequent Distresses Of The Common People, The Poor Laws Of England Have Been Instituted; But It Is To Be Feared That Though They May Have Alleviated A Little The Intensity Of Individual Misfortune, They Have Spread The General Evil Over A Much Larger Surface.

The Constant Effort Towards Population, Which Is Found Even In The Most Vicious Societies, Increases The Number Of People Before The Means Of Subsistence Are Increased.

Population, When Unchecked, Increases In A Geometrical Ratio. Subsistence Increases Only In An Arithmetical Ratio. A Slight Acquaintance With Numbers Will Shew The Immensity Of The First Power In Comparison Of The Second.

Subsistence Increases Only In An Arithmetical Ratio.

The Power Of Population Is So Superior To The Power Of The Earth To Produce Subsistence For Man, That Premature Death Must In Some Shape Or Other Visit The Human Race.

Every Endeavor Should Be Used To Weaken And Destroy All Those Institutions Relating To Corporations, Apprenticeships, &c, Which Cause The Labours Of Agriculture To Be Worse Paid Than The Labours Of Trade And Manufactures.

Man Cannot Live In The Midst Of Plenty.

If A Country Can Only Be Rich By Running A Successful Race For Low Wages, I Should Be Disposed To Say At Once, Perish Such Riches!

The World's Population Will Multiply More Rapidly Than The Available Food Supply.

The Exertions That Men Find It Necessary To Make, In Order To Support Themselves Or Families, Frequently Awaken Faculties That Might Otherwise Have Lain For Ever Dormant, And It Has Been Commonly Remarked That New And Extraordinary Situations Generally Create Minds Adequate To Grapple With The Difficulties In Which They Are Involved.

In Prosperous Times The Mercantile Classes Often Realize Fortunes, Which Go Far Towards Securing Them Against The Future; But Unfortunately The Working Classes, Though They Share In The General Prosperity, Do Not Share In It So Largely As In The General Adversity.

Population Regulates Itself By The Funds Which Are To Employ It, And Therefore Always Increases Or Diminishes With The Increase Or The Diminution Of Capital. Every Reduction Of Capital Is Therefore Necessarily Followed By A Less Effective Demand For Corn, By A Fall In Price, And By A Diminished Cultivation.

I Think It Will Be Found That Experience, The True Source And Foundation Of All Knowledge, Invariably Confirms Its Truth.

A Great Emigration Necessarily Implies Unhappiness Of Some Kind Or Other In The Country That Is Deserted.

Whether The Law Of Marriage Be Instituted Or Not, The Dictate Of Nature And Virtue Seems To Be An Early Attachment To One Woman.

The Germs Of Existence Contained In This Spot Of Earth, With Ample Food, And Ample Room To Expand In, Would Fill Millions Of Worlds In The Course Of A Few Thousand Years.

It Does Not, However, Seem Impossible That By An Attention To Breed, A Certain Degree Of Improvement, Similar To That Among Animals, Might Take Place Among Men. Whether Intellect Could Be Communicated May Be A Matter Of Doubt: But Size, Strength, Beauty, Complexion, And Perhaps Even Longevity Are In A Degree Transmissible... As The Human Race Could Not Be Improved In This Way, Without Condemning All The Bad Specimens To Celibacy, It Is Not Probable, That An Attention To Breed Should Ever Become General.

To Prevent The Recurrence Of Misery Is, Alas! Beyond The Power Of Man.

It May At First Appear Strange, But I Believe It Is True, That I Cannot By Means Of Money Raise A Poor Man And Enable Him To Live Much Better Than He Did Before, Without Proportionably Depressing Others In The Same Class.

The Labouring Poor, To Use A Vulgar Expression, Seem Always To Live From Hand To Mouth. Their Present Wants Employ Their Whole Whole Attention, And They Seldom Think Of The Future. Even When They Have An Opportunity Of Saving They Seldom Exercise It, But All That Is Beyond Their Present Neccessities Goes, Generally Speaking, To The Ale House.

The Science Of Political Economy Is Essentially Practical, And Applicable To The Common Business Of Human Life. There Are Few Branches Of Human Knowledge Where False Views May Do More Harm, Or Just Views More Good.

Hard As It May Appear In Individual Instances , Dependent Poverty Ought To Be Held Disgraceful.

The Moon Is Not Kept In Her Orbit Round The Earth, Nor The Earth In Her Orbit Round The Sun, By A Force That Varies Merely In The Inverse Ratio Of The Squares Of The Distances.

With Regard To The Duration Of Human Life, There Does Not Appear To Have Existed From The Earliest Ages Of The World To The Present Moment The Smallest Permanent Symptom Or Indication Of Increasing Prolongation.

The First Business Of Philosophy Is To Account For Things As They Are; And Till Our Theories Will Do This, They Ought Not To Be The Ground Of Any Practical Conclusion.

The Histories Of Mankind Are Histories Only Of The Higher Classes.

When Hume And Adam Smith Prophesied That A Little Increase Of National Debt Beyond The Then Amount Of It, Would Probably Occasion Bankruptcy; The Main Cause Of Their Error Was The Natural One, Of Not Being Able To See The Vast Increase Of Productive Power To Which The Nation Would Subsequently Obtain.

In General It May Be Said That Demand Is Quite As Necessary To The Increase Of Capital As The Increase Of Capital Is To Demand.

It Has Been Said, And Perhaps With Truth, That The Conclusions Of Political Economy Partake More Of The Certainty Of The Stricter Sciences Than Those Of Most Of The Other Branches Of Human Knowledge.

It Accords With The Most Liberal Spirit Of Philosophy To Suppose That Not A Stone Can Fall, Or A Plant Rise, Without The Immediate Agency Of Divine Power.

If One Fourth Of The Capital Of A Country Were Suddenly Destroyed, Or Entirely Transferred To A Different Part Of The World, Without Any Other Cause Occurring Of A Diminished Demand For Commodities, This Scantiness Of Capital Would Certainly Occasion Great Inconvenience To Consumers, And Great Distress Among The Working Classes; But It Would Be Attended With Great Advantages To The Remaining Capitalists.

In A State Therefore Of Great Equality And Virtue, Where Pure And Simple Manners Prevailed, The Increase Of The Human Species Would Evidently Be Much Greater Than Any Increase That Has Been Hitherto Known.

On The Whole It May Be Observed, That The Specific Use Of A Body Of Unproductive Consumers, Is To Give Encouragement To Wealth By Maintaining Such A Balance Between Produce And Consumption As Will Give The Greatest Exchangeable Value To The Results Of The National Industry.

The Most Effectual Encouragement To Population Is, The Activity Of Industry, And The Consequent Multiplication Of The National Products.

The Most Successful Supporters Of Tyranny Are Without Doubt Those General Declaimers Who Attribute The Distresses Of The Poor, And Almost All Evils To Which Society Is Subject, To Human Institutions And The Iniquity Of Governments.

No Move Towards The Extinction Of The Passion Between The Sexes Has Taken Place In The Five Or Six Thousand Years That The World Has Existed.

Population, When Unchecked, Goes On Doubling Itself Every 25 Years Or Increases In A Geometrical Ratio.

In 1860, Sixty-three Per Cent Of The Couples Married In Great Britain Had Families Of Four Or More Children; In 1925 Only Twenty Per Cent Had More Than Four.

The Redundant Population, Necessarily Occasioned By The Prevalence Of Early Marriages, Must Be Repressed By Occasional Famines, And By The Custom Of Exposing Children, Which, In Times Of Distress, Is Probably More Frequent Than Is Ever Acknowledged To Europeans.

The Employment Of The Poor In Roads And Public Works, And A Tendency Among Landlords And Persons Of Property To Build, To Improve And Beautify Their Grounds, And To Employ Workmen And Menial Servants, Are The Means Most Within Our Power And Most Directly Calculated To Remedy The Evils Arising From That Disturbance In The Balance Of Produce And Consumption.

Evil Exists In The World Not To Create Despair But Activity.

If I Saw A Glass Of Wine Repeatedly Presented To A Man, And He Took No Notice Of It, I Should Be Apt To Think That He Was Blind Or Uncivil. A Juster Philosophy Might Teach Me Rather To Think That My Eyes Deceived Me, And That The Offer Was Not Really What I Conceived It To Be.

The Transfer Of Three Shillings And Sixpence A Day To Every Labourer Would Not Increase The Quantity Of Meat In The Country. There Is Not At Present Enough For All To Have A Decent Share. What Would Then Be The Consequence?

Malthus Married In 1804 And Beat Three Children With His Wife

It Is An Acknowledged Truth In Philosophy That A Just Theory Will Always Be Confirmed By Experiment.

The Love Of Independence Is A Sentiment That Surely None Would Wish To See Erased From The Breast Of Man, Though The Parish Law Of England, It Must Be Confessed, Is A System Of All Others The Most Calculated Gradually To Weaken This Sentiment, And In The End May Eradicate It Completely.

If It Be Taught That All Who Are Born Have A Right To Support On The Land, Whatever Be Their Number, And That There Is No Occasion To Exercise Any Prudence In The Affair Of Marriage So As To Check This Number, The Temptations, According To All The Known Principles Of Human Nature, Will Inevitably Be Yielded To, And More And More Will Gradually Become Dependent On Parish Assistance.

The Friend Of The Present Order Of Things Condemns All Political Speculations In The Gross.

Each Pursues His Own Theory, Little Solicitous To Correct Or Improve It By An Attention To What Is Advanced By His Opponents.

It Is A Mere Futile Process To Exchange One Set Of Commodities For Another, If The Parties; After This New Distribution Of Goods Has Taken Place, Are Not Better Off Than They Were Before.

Had Population And Food Increased In The Same Ratio, It Is Probable That Man Might Never Have Emerged From The Savage State.

I Do Not Know That Any Writer Has Supposed That On This Earth Man Will Ultimately Be Able To Live Without Food.

A Writer May Tell Me That He Thinks Man Will Ultimately Become An Ostrich. I Cannot Properly Contradict Him.

No Limits Whatever Are Placed To The Productions Of The Earth; They May Increase Forever.

Population Trends Have Always Provoked Doom-fraught Oracles, Because Their Popular Interpreters Suppose That Every New Series Will Be Infinitely Sustained; Yet, Beyond The Short Term, Expectations Based On Them Are Never Fulfilled.

The Perpetual Tendency Of The Race Of Man To Increase Beyond The Means Of Subsistence Is One Of The General Laws Of Animated Nature, Which We Can Have No Reason To Expect To Change.

It Is Also Very Important To Observe, That Menial Servants Are Absolutely Necessary To Make The Resources Of The Higher And Middle Classes Of Society Efficient In The Demand For Material Products.

The Ordeal Of Virtue Is To Resist All Temptation To Evil.

Capitals Accumulate Faster Than Population

Where Are We To Look For The Consumption Required But Among The Unproductive Labourers Of Adam Smith?.

The Power Of Population Is Indefinitely Greater Than The Power In The Earth To Produce Subsistence For Man.

The Doctrine Of Population Has Been Conspicuously Absent, Not Because I Doubt In The Least Its Truth And Vast Importance, But Because It Forms No Part Of The Direct Problem Of Economics.

Where There Are Few People, And A Great Quantity Of Fertile Land, The Power Of The Earth To Afford A Yearly Increase Of Food May Be Compared To A Great Reservoir Of Water, Supplied By A Moderate Stream. The Faster Population Increases, The More Help Will Be Got To Draw Off The Water, And Consequently An Increasing Quantity Will Be Taken Every Year. But The Sooner, Undoubtedly, Will The Reservoir Be Exhausted, And The Streams Only Remain.

The Natural Inequality Of The Two Powers Of Population And Of Production In The Earth, And That Great Law Of Our Nature Which Must Constantly Keep Their Efforts Equal, Form The Great Difficulty That To Me Appears Insurmountable In The Way To The Perfectibility Of Society.

[p]opulation, When Unchecked, Goes On Doubling Itself Every Twenty-five Years, Or Increases In A Geometrical Ratio. ... [t]he Means Of Subsistence, Under Circumstances The Most Favorable To Human Industry, Could Not Possibly Be Made To Increase Faster Than In An Arithmetical Ratio.

The Superior Power Of Population Cannot Be Checked Without Producing Misery Or Vice.

The Finest Minds Seem To Be Formed Rather By Efforts At Original Thinking, By Endeavours To Form New Combinations, And To Discover New Truths, Than By Passively Receiving The Impressions Of Other Men's Ideas.

The Most Baleful Mischiefs May Be Expected From The Unmanly Conduct Of Not Daring To Face Truth Because It Is Unpleasing.

There Is Scarcely Any Inquiry More Curious, Or, From Its Importance, More Worthy Of Attention, Than That Which Traces The Causes Which Practically Check The Progress Of Wealth In Different Countries, And Stop It, Or Make It Proceed Very Slowly, While The Power Of Production Remains Comparatively Undiminished, Or At Least Would Furnish The Means Of A Great And Abundant Increase Of Produce And Population.

No State Has Hitherto Existed (at Least That We Have Any Account Of) ... That No Check Whatever Has Existed To Early Marriages, Among The Lower Classes, From A Fear Of Not Providing Well For Their Families, Or Among The Higher Classes, From A Fear Of Lowering Their Condition In Life.

The Main Peculiarity Which Distinguishes Man From Other Animals Is The Means Of His Support - The Power Which He Possesses Of Very Greatly Increasing These Means.

The Great And Unlooked For Discoveries That Have Taken Place Of Late Years Have All Concurred To Lead Many Men Into The Opinion That We Were Touching On A Period Big With The Most Important Changes.

Instead Of Recommending Cleanliness To The Poor, We Should Encourage Contrary Habits. In Our Towns We Should Make The Streets Narrower, Crowd More People Into The Houses, And Court The Return Of The Plague.

The Passion Between The Sexes Has Appeared In Every Age To Be So Nearly The Same, That It May Always Be Considered, In Algebraic Language As A Given Quantity.

The Proposition Of Mr. Ricardo, Which States That A Rise In The Price Of Labour Lowers The Price Of A Large Class Of Commodities, Has Undoubtedly A Very Paradoxical Air; But It Is, Nevertheless, True, And The Appearance Of Paradox Would Vanish, If It Were Stated More Naturally And Correctly.

I Feel No Doubt Whatever That The Parish Laws Of England Have Contributed To Raise The Price Of Provisions And To Lower The Real Price Of Labour.

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